By: Markus Azadeh • June 8th, 2010 •
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My apologies for being somewhat tardy with Q1 2010 figures for Edgebrook, Sauganash, and South Edgebrook/Gladstone Park. Business has been picking up this spring/early summer, and I’ve fallen behind with writing, a bit. But a busy real estate market is good news for everyone, especially after an extended series of months with bad news. To be sure, we’re not out of the woods yet, in fact some experts opine that it could take years before we could see a healthy real estate market again. But all real estate is local, and market conditions differ from region to region, and from town to town. Hence, I refuse to pay attention to all the generally negative housing news, and rather focus on what’s going on in your real estate markets. And, lo and behold, in this edition of my quarterly 60646 market conditions report, I am about to share some stats with you that mainstream news professionals would consider “good housing news”.
Encouraging stats in Edgebrook: Nine homes closed in the first quarter of 2010 which is almost twice as many as in Q1 2009. Early signs of a comeback? Better news: Neither of the nine closed homes were short sales or bank-owned homes.
 Edgebrook Q1 2007-2010 Units Sold In Q1 2010, average and median sale prices in Edgebrook declined vs. Q1 2009 (-14.5% and -18.4% respectively) but stayed in the vicinity of Q1 2007 and 2008 figures. So, even though Edgebrook home values have not been immune to the general softness of the market, there is absolutely no need to even waste a breath talking about real estate values in Edgebrook “crashing”. On another positive note, Q1 2010 saw a decline in average market times vs. Q1 2009. On average, it took a little over 4 months to sell a home in Edgebrook vs. 8 months in Q1 2009.
 Edgebrook Q1 2007-2010 Sale Prices There was no significant change in sale-to-list-price ratio in Q1 2010 vs. Q1 figures of recent years past, even though the green line below seems to indicate a big drop from Q1 2009 to Q1 2010. This ratio represents the percentage home sellers are willing to sell their homes for below their asking prices. For the past three years, this ratio has been almost 95% in the first quarter. It’s also testimony to the fact that Edgebrook is not a typical distressed property market.
 Edgebrook Q1 2007-2010 Sale-to-List-Price Ratio With 55 homes currently for sale in Edgebrook, the MSI-Index (Months Supply of Inventory) stands at 18.3 months which means that if no other homes came on the market for sale, it would take 18.3 months to sell off the existing inventory of homes in Edgebrook. |
No dramatic developments in Q1 2010 in Sauganash. 2010 kicked off with 9 closed homes, one of which was an estate sale, and another one a short sale. This puts Q1 2010 on par with Q1 2009, but quite a long way from the 20 homes sold in the first quarter of 2007.
 Sauganash Q1 2007-2010 Units Sold I don’t want to jinx myself by calling it a recovery, but let us collectively acknowledge the fact that median home values in Sauganash in Q1 2010 increased by 25% over Q1 2009. Average home values rose by 17.3%. This is bloody GOOD NEWS! So what’s with the 254 days average market time? Well, there was one home that finally closed after being on the market for 681 days, and two other homes that closed after 461 and 466 days on the market. With only nine sold homes, relatively long market times on a third of the sold inventory, naturally leave a scuff mark on the stat sheet. But hey, values are up, so I’m calling the glass half-full.
 Sauganash Q1 2007-2010 Sale Prices The sale-to-list-price ratio in Sauganash improved a tiny bit in Q1 2010 vs Q1 2009, but is still 3.7% below Q1 2008. It basically means that home sellers in Sauganash were willing to part with their homes for 9.3% below their asking prices, on average. In Q1 2008, they were only negotiable up to 5.6%, on average.
 Sauganash Q1 2007-2010 Sale-to-List-Price Ratio With 50 homes currently for sale in Sauganash, the absorption rate measures 16.7 months. For the record, there were two more sales in Q1 2010 in Sauganash: A townhouse that closed for $515,000 and a 2-flat that changed ownership for $370,000. |
South Edgebrook and North Gladstone Park never cease to amaze me: 14 closed homes in Q1 2010. Versus 3 sold homes in Q1 2009. You do the math.  Granted, three of the 14 sold homes were estate sales and two of them were bank-owned properties. But still… Impressive!
 SEdgebrook-GladstonePk Q1 2007-2010 Units Sold More good news: The median home value in Q1 2010 beat the one in Q1 2009 by 13.4%. The average home value though, lost by 3.7%. The average market time rose to 157 days from 105 days in Q1 2009 which was mainly due to a property in the Edgebrook Glen subdivision that had been for sale on the market for a cumulative 894 days before it closed. Excluding that property, the average market time would have been 100 days.
 SEdgebrook-GladstonePk Q1 2007-2010 Sale Prices And the good news for South Edgebrook and Gladstone Park continues: The sale-to-list-price ratio in Q1 2010 edged up to 95.7% from 94.9% in Q1 2009. Not a huge jump, but every little bit helps.
 SEdgebrook-GladstonePk Q1 2007-2010 Sale-to-List-Price Ratio With 47 homes currently for sale in South Edgebrook / Gladstone Park, the MSI-Index (Months Supply of Inventory) stands at 10.1 months which means that if no other homes came on the market for sale, it would take 10.1 months to sell off the existing inventory of homes in South Edgebrook / Gladstone Park. Aside from the above reported sales of single family homes, in South Edgebrook / Gladstone Park, there were three 2-flats that sold, ranging from $210,000 to $380,000 and one condo that closed for $130,000. There are currently 14 multi-unit buildings and 9 condos actively for sale in this neighborhood. |
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Hooray for good news. … Have you been busy with new shoppers even after the tax credit expiration?
I’m afraid to say that all the tax credit did, was shift demand from the summer into spring. In fact, I understand that as of today, one of the tax credit restrictions (must close by June 30, 2010) has now been relaxed (must close by September 30, 2010) as approved by the Senate. The House, and President Obama still need to vote on that. Well, that’s understood, because a lot of banks haven’t been able to get their ducks in a row on processing short sales. What a surprise… As for me, I’m more busy with REO’s. And it looks like it’s gonna stay like that for a while.